Central bankers shoot for “subliminal” inflation – not enough to notice on a day-to-day basis, but enough to cause dramatic changes over the long run.
Inflation appears to have peaked and markets are partying across the board. But if we examine the risks of global debt, is the optimism justified?
Should the Fed pay attention to the IMF’s warnings about global financial risks and deteriorating market conditions? Probably, but more red-hot inflation data means their hands are tied.
Rising interest rates reveal the consequences of exorbitant debt and leverage. When the free money disappears, what remains tends to flow into real assets.
The current pace of rate hikes has no modern precedent. With recessionary red flags popping up everywhere, what will it take for the Fed to reverse course?
Inflation and money supply indicate that gold has room to run. How long can rising interest rates and dollar strength suppress the price?
Inflation has peaked, right? The stock market is certainly acting like it, but there are many reasons to believe we are not out of the woods yet.
The futures market is flashing a very clear, and very rare, signal. Gold’s jump from $1,680 to $1,800 could the be the beginning of a significant move higher. Right now, gold is still on the sale of the century.
Gold is supposed to be a reliable hedge against inflation and economic disasters, but right now it’s stuck in the mud. When will gold shine again?
Demand destruction and the growing threat of recession crushed commodities in Q2. The Fed succeeded in slamming on the breaks, but did they go too far?
Gold bull markets are correlated with secular drops in consumer sentiment. Today’s sentiment numbers will help support gold’s next move.
The stock market is a casualty in the Fed’s fight against inflation. Will the entire economy follow? If so, will the Fed make a dovish pivot?
As global food and commodity prices surge, nations are turning inward to protect their own food security. For emerging economies, inflation has a particularly nasty bite.
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